TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under57c988.1$563 inWon+$424.881,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over43c930.23$400 inLost-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over45c599.98$270 inLost-$269.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c590.97$237 inLost-$237.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under55c518$285 inWon+$233.17251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under63c346.13$218 inWon+$128.0751859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost-$1004763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over42c192$81 inLost-$80.6476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c137.06$56 inLost-$56.343,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under58c129.31$75 inWon+$54.3110857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost-$5056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under63c100$63 inWon+$3724654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under57c88.16$50 inWon+$38.168447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under58c72.05$42 inWon+$30.263053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over43c65.84$28 inLost-$28.3461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c62.18$24 inLost-$23.873,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under57c59.56$34 inWon+$25.6167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over42c49.99$21 inLost-$2155942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under63c35.56$22 inWon+$13.1619257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e6…8431backed Under60c33.45$20 inWon+$13.451662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over38c33$13 inLost-$12.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9737…e5cbbacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.271485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under55c20$11 inWon+$93759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.