La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce1fc5fc203031ff148687a3a996754a5ec375a62518fe634e362f72286b6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 1,010$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.27 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 53c | 578.29$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 58c | 343.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 42c | 281.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Over | 41c | 237.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 56c | 231.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 61c | 227.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 149.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 55c | 139.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 129.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 121.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 50.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 79c | 50.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…bfe6backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 52c | 43.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 41c | 31.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 460 | 24.1%111 W · 349 L | -52.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 53c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.