La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c517dd87cb1750064a0492e0ae63e05fb88f1c7bffafa9e3b6abce39944bbad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf68…1934backed Over | 72c | 3,329$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,140$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.94 | 298 | 35.6%106 W · 192 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 518 | 51.9%269 W · 249 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 26c | 828.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 223 | 43%96 W · 127 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 646.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 48c | 497.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 26c | 230.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 189.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 30c | 186.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 26c | 183.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 29c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 72.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 54c | 71.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 16c | 68.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…bfe6backed Under | 30c | 39.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 68c | 32.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…573abacked Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 71c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 69c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.