La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed8f8e8af6479798b833c5c1677c25f76c71c631b6bed927840935619b82820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Under | 56c | 8,900$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 54c | 3,872$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,618$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.72 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…6566backed Over | 46c | 2,446$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 62c | 1,746$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.21 | 298 | 35.6%106 W · 192 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 43c | 1,447$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 899.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.56 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 859.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.57 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 55c | 775.78$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.68 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 45c | 693.56$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 631 | 58%366 W · 265 L | +43.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 44c | 484.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 456.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…b044backed Under | 55c | 299.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 33c | 258.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 141.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 41c | 118.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 47c | 111.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 46c | 87.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Over | 45c | 85.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Under | 56c | 83.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 68c | 71.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Over | 34c | 46.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…bfe6backed Under | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Over | 32c | 42.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 46c | 42.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…3cd9backed Under | 74c | 40.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…2ac5backed Under | 55c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.