Tennis · resolved market
ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d591acca1a9b0209cb90c567b9aa7c882647b2e18ec976c424809b6c3ed0ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Okalovaof Ava Catanzarite, Martina Okalova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Martina Okalova | 76c | 79,133$59,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,280.23 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ava Catanzarite | 26c | 74,531$19,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,695.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Martina Okalova | 58c | 4,958$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.69 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Ava Catanzarite | 16c | 2,767$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ava Catanzarite | 36c | 2,757$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ava Catanzarite | 46c | 2,752$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.5 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ava Catanzarite | 42c | 2,697$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Ava Catanzarite | 2c | 1,391$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Martina Okalova | 76c | 1,285$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.81 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Ava Catanzarite | 2c | 656$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ava Catanzarite | 15c | 621.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Martina Okalova | 54c | 559.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.55 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Martina Okalova | 64c | 476.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martina Okalova | 69c | 412.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…5254backed Ava Catanzarite | 4c | 370.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ava Catanzarite | 7c | 272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Ava Catanzarite | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Ava Catanzarite | 22c | 138.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Ava Catanzarite | 27c | 138.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ava Catanzarite | 30c | 75.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Ava Catanzarite | 28c | 71.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Martina Okalova | 71c | 56.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ava Catanzarite | 36c | 51.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ava Catanzarite | 24c | 49.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Martina Okalova | 58c | 48.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Ava Catanzarite | 43c | 41.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Martina Okalova | 56c | 39.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Martina Okalova | 61c | 36.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martina Okalova | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Ava Catanzarite | 42c | 28.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Ava Catanzarite | 48c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…31e5backed Ava Catanzarite | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Martina Okalova | 56c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.