Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Luana Plaza Araujo vs Sofia Cohen Perovani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7aa9127aae6dc1b5696c3ea64ac91d372841187bcfafd3eb472e87e3ff1a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luana Plaza Araujoof Luana Plaza Araujo, Sofia Cohen Perovani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luana Plaza Araujo | 59c | 1,033$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sofia Cohen Perovani | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 51c | 255.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sofia Cohen Perovani | 69c | 170.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 56c | 163.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 43c | 119.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luana Plaza Araujo | 27c | 85.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Luana Plaza Araujo | 44c | 58.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Cohen Perovani | 38c | 52.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luana Plaza Araujo | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luana Plaza Araujo | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Luana Plaza Araujo | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Luana Plaza Araujo | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sofia Cohen Perovani | 38c | 33.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luana Plaza Araujo | 56c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sofia Cohen Perovani | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Sofia Cohen Perovani | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.