NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e15f334113ee05ec407e0cf770799300a52a306752d14cb8cf271f1a2d3976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0842…9d35backed Over | 50c | 6,189$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…b2a4backed Over | 50c | 4,321$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…c5b1backed Under | 50c | 3,621$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 3,326$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.52 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…e599backed Over | 50c | 3,105$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 54c | 2,966$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.99 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…3249backed Over | 50c | 2,815$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…6a61backed Under | 50c | 2,815$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…2c2ebacked Under | 50c | 2,568$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 2,381$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.33 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…5d07backed Under | 50c | 2,219$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…e859backed Under | 50c | 2,102$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…f211backed Under | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…178bbacked Over | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…5f86backed Under | 50c | 1,689$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…db81backed Over | 50c | 1,689$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 1,632$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.87 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…0320backed Under | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…e0cfbacked Under | 50c | 1,598$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed Under | 47c | 1,512$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…147bbacked Over | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…9b86backed Under | 50c | 1,507$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…4869backed Under | 50c | 1,357$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…5491backed Over | 50c | 1,357$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…3b1cbacked Over | 50c | 1,270$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…7654backed Over | 50c | 1,251$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…81d8backed Under | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…1663backed Under | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 866.02$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…bec8backed Under | 50c | 758$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…390abacked Over | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Under | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…7794backed Over | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…0588backed Over | 50c | 393.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…bf74backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e93…8af8backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…d36fbacked Under | 54c | 385.94$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Over | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 51c | 322.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 139.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 44c | 117.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Under | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Thunder vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.