Lol · resolved market
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e23e984a6cea58580df4ed19315cc92ed65ec13bfec10262dd21dfff83edda6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DOCISKof DOCISK, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed DOCISK | 57c | 2,265$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.26 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed devils.one | 43c | 1,677$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.32 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed DOCISK | 77c | 1,665$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed devils.one | 44c | 1,547$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.36 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked DOCISK | 68c | 1,449$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.03 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed devils.one | 37c | 1,242$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.68 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed devils.one | 43c | 967.79$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.15 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed devils.one | 41c | 767.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed devils.one | 22c | 730$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked DOCISK | 56c | 635.9$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked devils.one | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed DOCISK | 54c | 559.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked devils.one | 46c | 461.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DOCISK | 43c | 461$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed DOCISK | 43c | 430.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked DOCISK | 43c | 428.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked DOCISK | 40c | 374.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.62 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked devils.one | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed devils.one | 47c | 352$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DOCISK | 54c | 344.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed devils.one | 36c | 337.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed DOCISK | 44c | 306.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked DOCISK | 58c | 292.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed devils.one | 55c | 280$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked DOCISK | 58c | 252.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked devils.one | 47c | 231.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked devils.one | 65c | 226.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked DOCISK | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed DOCISK | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked devils.one | 31c | 177$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed devils.one | 56c | 169.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed devils.one | 46c | 166.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked DOCISK | 60c | 164.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed DOCISK | 35c | 163.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed devils.one | 44c | 161$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed DOCISK | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed DOCISK | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed devils.one | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed DOCISK | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed DOCISK | 58c | 147.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed DOCISK | 42c | 134.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed devils.one | 61c | 129.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed DOCISK | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked devils.one | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed DOCISK | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked devils.one | 43c | 107.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed DOCISK | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed DOCISK | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked DOCISK | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed devils.one | 20c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DOCISK | 47c | 96.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed DOCISK | 51c | 95.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed devils.one | 56c | 82.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed devils.one | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed devils.one | 56c | 71.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed DOCISK | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed devils.one | 56c | 69.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed devils.one | 23c | 69.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed DOCISK | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed devils.one | 29c | 60.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed DOCISK | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…cd1cbacked DOCISK | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed devils.one | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed devils.one | 43c | 45.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked devils.one | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed devils.one | 46c | 41.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked devils.one | 58c | 41.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed devils.one | 43c | 34.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked DOCISK | 57c | 34.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed devils.one | 36c | 31.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed DOCISK | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed devils.one | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed DOCISK | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed devils.one | 43c | 25.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed DOCISK | 44c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed DOCISK | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed devils.one | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed devils.one | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked devils.one | 45c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…4dbabacked DOCISK | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed devils.one | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonDOCISK won
- LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.