CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e30929716332321891829b439a8d27af469c72c71c848244cb82f9bba9ff272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 51c | 1,403$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 1,228$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.06 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 49c | 798.18$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 555.9$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Under | 47c | 505.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 402.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Under | 49c | 386.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 240.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 50c | 158.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 45c | 158.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 47c | 148.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 120.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Under | 50c | 113.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Under | 47c | 107.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 69.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed Under | 55c | 60.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 35c | 46.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Over | 60c | 43.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…9c0bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Under | 47c | 33.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Under | 47c | 30.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Over | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8989backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 49c | 20.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.