Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e90219513337dccb4dc74f1fecb1a9a650e5d7fd8c45cc420f9afa8b8400ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof DePaul Blue Demons, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 1,279$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.54 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 1,112$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 1,036$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 39c | 1,019$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Butler Bulldogs | 57c | 985.97$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.07 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed DePaul Blue Demons | 40c | 818.31$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 799.98$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DePaul Blue Demons | 25c | 682.89$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed DePaul Blue Demons | 27c | 568.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 534.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed DePaul Blue Demons | 43c | 524.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Butler Bulldogs | 75c | 520$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 45c | 498.36$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 448.34$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 414.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 355.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed DePaul Blue Demons | 45c | 336.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed DePaul Blue Demons | 39c | 290.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 274$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 228.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed DePaul Blue Demons | 37c | 204$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 201$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 9c | 195.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed DePaul Blue Demons | 34c | 189.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed DePaul Blue Demons | 27c | 184$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed DePaul Blue Demons | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 11c | 122.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed DePaul Blue Demons | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed DePaul Blue Demons | 11c | 108.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Butler Bulldogs | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed DePaul Blue Demons | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed DePaul Blue Demons | 23c | 86.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 36c | 81.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed DePaul Blue Demons | 42c | 55.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked DePaul Blue Demons | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed DePaul Blue Demons | 24c | 48.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed DePaul Blue Demons | 39c | 45.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed DePaul Blue Demons | 34c | 44.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 33c | 40.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…1f25backed DePaul Blue Demons | 43c | 36.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed DePaul Blue Demons | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…de95backed DePaul Blue Demons | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed DePaul Blue Demons | 32c | 31.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DePaul Blue Demons | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 41c | 24.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Butler Bulldogs | 57c | 18.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-7.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-8.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.