Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1b9e2a40c5d130cdf966d9ed08beb00be83bd0720f77be8ff1153c675795bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 18c | 2,300$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.88 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 24c | 600.12$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 78c | 593.65$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 497.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…887cbacked Yes | 11c | 399.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 24c | 371.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 72c | 288.51$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 287.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…8c15backed Yes | 6c | 282.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…5bdebacked Yes | 14c | 269.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 265.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 11c | 192.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 33c | 177.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 161.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 27c | 147.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…e3dcbacked Yes | 23c | 137.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…298bbacked No | 75c | 132.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 68c | 132.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 26c | 130.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…f366backed Yes | 10c | 128.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 12c | 127.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 125.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 73c | 115.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 28c | 106.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 10c | 105.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 102.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 74c | 100.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 100.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 73c | 99.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 27c | 92.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 299 | 48.2%144 W · 155 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…082cbacked Yes | 25c | 87.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 43c | 87.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 13c | 86.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 12c | 85.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked No | 64c | 81.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 60c | 76.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 48c | 74.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 69.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 69c | 69.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 66.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…77e4backed Yes | 33c | 56.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 53.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…1f83backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 77c | 51.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 21c | 50.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ef…2e8bbacked Yes | 44c | 48.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 47.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 46.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 42c | 45.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…5e0bbacked Yes | 25c | 43.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 78c | 40.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…238dbacked Yes | 37c | 39.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 43c | 36.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…b2eebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 55c | 29.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…ddeabacked Yes | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 63c | 27.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…270cbacked Yes | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.