Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kamen: Marcus Walters vs Michel Hopp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f30c5a1a31674b6002a80a5ba0bddff60ab3eb674b787ba75fee041796a768a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michel Hoppof Marcus Walters, Michel Hopp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Michel Hopp | 37c | 2,462$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.15 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marcus Walters | 59c | 1,608$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Marcus Walters | 61c | 621.8$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marcus Walters | 29c | 499.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marcus Walters | 31c | 437.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Michel Hopp | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michel Hopp | 66c | 425.63$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Michel Hopp | 71c | 416$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Marcus Walters | 58c | 294$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marcus Walters | 35c | 274.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Michel Hopp | 64c | 194.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Marcus Walters | 43c | 159.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Marcus Walters | 37c | 134.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Michel Hopp | 38c | 132$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Marcus Walters | 64c | 125.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Marcus Walters | 49c | 122.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Marcus Walters | 34c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marcus Walters | 18c | 91.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcus Walters | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Michel Hopp | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marcus Walters | 35c | 80.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Michel Hopp | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcus Walters | 47c | 64.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Michel Hopp | 75c | 56.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Michel Hopp | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Michel Hopp | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Marcus Walters | 64c | 46.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Michel Hopp | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Michel Hopp | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Michel Hopp | 64c | 38.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marcus Walters | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marcus Walters | 37c | 34.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michel Hopp | 77c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Michel Hopp | 65c | 27.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Michel Hopp | 61c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Marcus Walters | 54c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Marcus Walters | 66c | 22.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Marcus Walters | 66c | 20.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Michel Hopp | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Michel Hopp | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.