Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Aya El Sayed vs Sara Milanese
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3f29c8e8f6b252c99348cd6c3f2454b98c6b7a73132a4d59e984e397b39c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Milaneseof Aya El Sayed, Sara Milanese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aya El Sayed | 69c | 4,004$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.34 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Milanese | 37c | 1,589$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.88 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sara Milanese | 36c | 1,471$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.38 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sara Milanese | 36c | 1,171$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.77 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aya El Sayed | 60c | 999.62$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sara Milanese | 38c | 555.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Milanese | 30c | 415.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sara Milanese | 38c | 356.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sara Milanese | 49c | 347.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sara Milanese | 35c | 314$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aya El Sayed | 34c | 268.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aya El Sayed | 40c | 202.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Aya El Sayed | 33c | 197.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aya El Sayed | 60c | 193.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Aya El Sayed | 63c | 185$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aya El Sayed | 45c | 176.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Aya El Sayed | 70c | 163.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aya El Sayed | 62c | 161.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Aya El Sayed | 59c | 153.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Milanese | 55c | 148.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Sara Milanese | 35c | 120.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Aya El Sayed | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sara Milanese | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aya El Sayed | 61c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aya El Sayed | 47c | 59.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Sara Milanese | 40c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Aya El Sayed | 62c | 51.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Aya El Sayed | 65c | 45.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sara Milanese | 44c | 41.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Aya El Sayed | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Aya El Sayed | 65c | 38.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Aya El Sayed | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Sara Milanese | 63c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Aya El Sayed | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Aya El Sayed | 66c | 15.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.