CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs QUB (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd0c527f41e69af292416242ace7898258d0b87ee18a7b81c5271e521414a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUBof Phantom Academy, QUB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed QUB | 50c | 1,938$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.66 | 217 | 59.9%130 W · 87 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed QUB | 60c | 1,259$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked QUB | 51c | 911.5$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom Academy | 44c | 549.87$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.62 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed QUB | 61c | 527.27$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Phantom Academy | 50c | 466$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 272 | 45.2%123 W · 149 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom Academy | 46c | 450.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.85 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 403.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 389.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed Phantom Academy | 47c | 385.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…1f16backed QUB | 60c | 366.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Phantom Academy | 43c | 351$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed Phantom Academy | 37c | 326$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed QUB | 55c | 299.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 469 | 65.7%308 W · 161 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…6735backed Phantom Academy | 57c | 259.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed QUB | 63c | 254.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Phantom Academy | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Phantom Academy | 38c | 245.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Phantom Academy | 41c | 244.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed QUB | 64c | 235.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom Academy | 51c | 229.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed QUB | 46c | 226.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Phantom Academy | 48c | 220$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Phantom Academy | 35c | 218.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 407 | 40%163 W · 244 L | +30.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 211.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 328 | 40.9%134 W · 194 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom Academy | 48c | 210.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom Academy | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Phantom Academy | 47c | 183.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 510 | 42.7%218 W · 292 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Phantom Academy | 45c | 176.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked QUB | 64c | 170.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 410 | 69%283 W · 127 L | +32.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…db05backed Phantom Academy | 7c | 164.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…3814backed QUB | 59c | 153.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Phantom Academy | 42c | 152.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 922 | 31.2%288 W · 634 L | -63.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom Academy | 48c | 145.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked QUB | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 672 | 49.1%330 W · 342 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phantom Academy | 45c | 123.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Phantom Academy | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 240 | 37.5%90 W · 150 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Phantom Academy | 41c | 118.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom Academy | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom Academy | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phantom Academy | 33c | 102.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…9e71backed QUB | 58c | 101.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUB | 65c | 91.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Phantom Academy | 45c | 87.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed QUB | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phantom Academy | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked Phantom Academy | 44c | 67.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed QUB | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +8.5wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed QUB | 70c | 57.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Phantom Academy | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Phantom Academy | 44c | 47.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed QUB | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed QUB | 59c | 43.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Phantom Academy | 50c | 43.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed QUB | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Phantom Academy | 43c | 40.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 214 | 52.3%112 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Phantom Academy | 44c | 29.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked QUB | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked QUB | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 203 | 80.8%164 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked QUB | 54c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Phantom Academy | 47c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed QUB | 60c | 17.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…5860backed QUB | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked QUB | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 443 | 73.6%326 W · 117 L | +43.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed QUB | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs QUB (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs QUB - Map 1 WinnerQUB won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs QUB - Map 2 WinnerQUB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.