MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50461cfca76ed9a39a494cdcf5515478ad6cce3b3b0084f0db08e91ea9afe651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47de…007dbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 10,637$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 4,222$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 3,228$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.51 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 2,212$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 707.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 705.86$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kia Tigers | 8c | 657.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Doosan Bears | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +243%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 531.15$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 10c | 405.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 333.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 327.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 237.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 209.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 187.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kia Tigers | 11c | 173.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 141.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 139.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 136.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 119.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 30c | 113.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 82.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 27c | 62.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 61.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 32c | 54.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 48.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 46.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 43.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Doosan Bears | 76c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 34.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 32.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 73c | 28.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…e7ccbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…066abacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 25.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 22.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 22.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6cb6backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…8999backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…aad7backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…308cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…eccdbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.