Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50499eda20db3d98a7ce9c8cba69eacbd5fecf784125bcb2ee2bee6640646d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,285$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 36c | 1,086$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 999.95$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.96 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 978.23$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 946.55$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 37c | 700$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 554.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 435.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 300.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 265.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 65c | 260.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 30c | 221.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 35c | 181.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 17c | 120.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 17c | 116.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 103.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 65c | 95.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 79.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 39c | 68.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 46c | 57.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 56.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 20c | 56.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 56.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 51c | 54.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…0848backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 37c | 41.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 65c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 31.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 23.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 61c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 65c | 15.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.