Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50633f93a369b1fb4e3b7e7738b4a155d3f56d0006bcb8f221b6a0aaff5a9518

Rebuilt 39 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Alliance Guardians
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest	76c	10,603$8,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,568.63	524	55.2%289 W · 235 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Alliance Guardians	12c	6,567$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.03	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alliance Guardians	40c	5,033$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.08	190	46.3%88 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Alliance Guardians	13c	2,496$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.48	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Alliance Guardians	13c	1,712$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.58	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed FlyQuest	57c	1,659$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.48	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance Guardians	43c	1,427$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.7	1,422	51.3%729 W · 693 L	+49.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Alliance Guardians	13c	1,354$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest	66c	1,289$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.67	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8051…2ab5backed Alliance Guardians	46c	871.19$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Alliance Guardians	12c	826.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Alliance Guardians	27c	823.38$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.94	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Alliance Guardians	16c	588.23$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.12	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Alliance Guardians	11c	574.61$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Alliance Guardians	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Alliance Guardians	31c	450.02$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-10.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Alliance Guardians	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	-11.5wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Alliance Guardians	17c	370.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	191	34.6%66 W · 125 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FlyQuest	74c	364.24$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.88	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed FlyQuest	76c	308$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.92	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	66cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance Guardians	40c	241.19$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.08	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Alliance Guardians	40c	235.33$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.05	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3006…2c59backed Alliance Guardians	7c	222$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	47cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Alliance Guardians	18c	220.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Alliance Guardians	12c	220$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Alliance Guardians	28c	208.33$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed FlyQuest	74c	203.65$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.49	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-7.9wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Alliance Guardians	34c	187.93$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.39	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alliance Guardians	23c	182.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FlyQuest	73c	164.34$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.07	1,612	45.1%727 W · 885 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance Guardians	23c	164$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed FlyQuest	62c	162.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.53	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed FlyQuest	63c	155.78$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.01	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Alliance Guardians	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Alliance Guardians	12c	127.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9b…59eabacked Alliance Guardians	17c	101.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Alliance Guardians	17c	97.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed FlyQuest	60c	97.13$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FlyQuest	77c	91.11$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.96	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Alliance Guardians	13c	90.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	158	42.4%67 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd156…8569backed FlyQuest	60c	83.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.67	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x560e…158ebacked Alliance Guardians	18c	80.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest	70c	79$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.81	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest	72c	76.67$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	518	49.6%257 W · 261 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdb…b241backed Alliance Guardians	27c	76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest	74c	63.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.49	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Alliance Guardians	38c	62.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Alliance Guardians	19c	58.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	439	43.7%192 W · 247 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FlyQuest	68c	54.85$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alliance Guardians	29c	46.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1165…bd0fbacked FlyQuest	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed FlyQuest	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest	80c	21.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.31	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb2…e495backed FlyQuest	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked FlyQuest	50c	19.86$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.86	206	39.8%82 W · 124 L	-17.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FlyQuest	71c	19.39$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.57	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-19.2wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked FlyQuest	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.18	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked FlyQuest	71c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.22	346	71.1%246 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FlyQuest	75c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed FlyQuest	78c	15.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.39	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 WinnerAlliance Guardians won
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event