Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Central Arkansas Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f25565b4909e3dac314c7cc86b0be99a47e72265194dae354b1049dfad2241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Jacksonville Dolphins, Central Arkansas Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 24,776$19,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,331.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.8wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 24c | 8,861$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…70eabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 7,378$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3912…0246backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 22c | 7,378$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Arkansas Bears | 21c | 4,999$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.83 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Arkansas Bears | 23c | 4,962$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Arkansas Bears | 43c | 1,630$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Central Arkansas Bears | 66c | 596.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 21c | 585.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.72 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 24c | 512.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Arkansas Bears | 24c | 329$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 46c | 293.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 63c | 207.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Arkansas Bears | 76c | 203$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 60c | 178.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 21c | 171.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 52c | 155.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 128.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 120.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 29c | 61.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 22c | 51.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 49.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 46.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 44.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 43.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 52c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 35.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 30.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…dff4backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 22.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…0649backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 20.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…fb3ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 80c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…b76bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…e4f4backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.