Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5133af737a1a05e223e8d0f2e6409b882fc2f5963ab9be6cd4f516820bc1b528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Incarnate Word Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 38c | 1,011$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 42c | 715.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 62c | 570.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 62c | 553.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58c | 370.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 44c | 274$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 259$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 54c | 233.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 57c | 214.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 44c | 202.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 63c | 56.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 43c | 49.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 61c | 46.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 57c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsthis page
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-1.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.