Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5159b18db88f6b94725a753bd99400e2ff6d176b18443730fcc2b67f3a409cf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 3,324$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.19 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 2,124$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.56 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 1,655$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.47 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 1,626$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.19 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 1,597$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 1,415$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.78 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Amaru Gaming | 23c | 1,373$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 1,371$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.58 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 1,366$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.33 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.97 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 1,307$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.84 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,256$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,228$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.27 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 1,216$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 1,195$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Amaru Gaming | 25c | 908.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 763.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 698.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 656.91$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 604.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…8900backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 490.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 488.2$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 456.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Amaru Gaming | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 390.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 344.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 267$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 257.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 200.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 193.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Amaru Gaming | 20c | 189.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 186.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 182.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 174.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 165.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 152.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 148.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 145.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 138.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 136.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 119.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 65.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 55.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 45.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 44.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 43.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 43.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 41.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 30.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Amaru Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.