Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ffef8c6a0747f90b33e1857a694fd18b6dc665e53934c71ff8ab733f93d9d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Vici Gaming, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 4,026$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 4,000$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 3,368$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.89 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 2,235$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.44 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 2,188$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.28 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 2,180$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.96 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 2,037$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.58 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 1,975$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 1,924$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.17 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,698$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 1,615$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.7 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 1,550$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.73 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 1,545$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.76 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Amaru Gaming | 58c | 1,464$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.94 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 1,301$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.61 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 1,298$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.49 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Amaru Gaming | 16c | 1,297$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.57 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 1,219$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.36 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 1,214$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.89 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 1,013$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.58 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Amaru Gaming | 20c | 777.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.76 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amaru Gaming | 18c | 768.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.08 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 752$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 726.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.33 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 711.78$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Amaru Gaming | 35c | 705$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.03 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 690.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 643.46$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 540.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Amaru Gaming | 53c | 536.39$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 529.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Amaru Gaming | 18c | 527.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.84 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Amaru Gaming | 75c | 496.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 485.1$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.12 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 440$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amaru Gaming | 23c | 433.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 411.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Amaru Gaming | 63c | 379.48$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 338.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 321.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 305.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Amaru Gaming | 46c | 273.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 268.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 259.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 245.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…480abacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 233.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 225$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Amaru Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…9d6fbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Amaru Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 192.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 188.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 185.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 169.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 166$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 156.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 154.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 140.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Amaru Gaming | 70c | 136.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 133.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 114.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Amaru Gaming | 57c | 107.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 104.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 104$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 103.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…5c82backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 98.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Amaru Gaming | 46c | 92.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 86.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 84.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 81.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 76.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 71.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 71.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 69.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 68.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 65.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Amaru Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.