Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fd04193f9072f3d4d518d6d10fb8cced5216bb8f6f1aef81c31c33d1b69f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 6,421$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.64 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 4,770$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.29 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Amaru Gaming | 10c | 3,090$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 2,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amaru Gaming | 12c | 2,426$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 2,415$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 2,337$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.14 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Amaru Gaming | 10c | 2,237$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 1,895$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 13c | 1,772$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 1,751$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 1,750$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.97 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 1,747$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 1,506$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.73 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Amaru Gaming | 10c | 1,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 1,442$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.27 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 23c | 1,320$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Amaru Gaming | 10c | 1,300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 1,141$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…8900backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 1,110$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Amaru Gaming | 4c | 1,013$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amaru Gaming | 13c | 989.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…5c82backed Amaru Gaming | 13c | 860$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 851.8$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Amaru Gaming | 12c | 821.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 820.96$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 813.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.36 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 798.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 738.99$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 657$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Amaru Gaming | 18c | 650.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 617.54$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 602.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 9c | 573.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 571$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Amaru Gaming | 6c | 555$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 511.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 511.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Amaru Gaming | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 465.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 456.68$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…2e7bbacked Amaru Gaming | 4c | 452$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 405.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 365.94$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 359.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…18babacked Amaru Gaming | 13c | 351.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 16c | 308.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Amaru Gaming | 20c | 302.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 301.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 282.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amaru Gaming | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…7175backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 255$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Amaru Gaming | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Amaru Gaming | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 228.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 206.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Amaru Gaming | 20c | 202.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Amaru Gaming | 9c | 202.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 200.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…1b00backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 189.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 182.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 167.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 160.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Amaru Gaming | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Amaru Gaming | 10c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amaru Gaming | 8c | 135.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 126.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 126.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…ce83backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 112.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…abaebacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 100.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amaru Gaming | 14c | 97.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 96.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 82.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amaru Gaming | 17c | 81.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 74.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 56.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…33d8backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 53.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 50.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 45.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 41.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Amaru Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.