Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ollersbach: Andrej Martin vs Khumoyun Sultanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5196c533863105da9f4709dce49e36426ad5afaff0df3c42949d125f348ebf14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Martinof Andrej Martin, Khumoyun Sultanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Khumoyun Sultanov | 56c | 2,517$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.02 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrej Martin | 41c | 463.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrej Martin | 45c | 416.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andrej Martin | 50c | 198.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Andrej Martin | 30c | 165.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Khumoyun Sultanov | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrej Martin | 43c | 156.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Andrej Martin | 41c | 153$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Andrej Martin | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Andrej Martin | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Andrej Martin | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andrej Martin | 47c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Andrej Martin | 44c | 121.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Andrej Martin | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrej Martin | 37c | 89.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Khumoyun Sultanov | 46c | 86.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Andrej Martin | 45c | 78.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Andrej Martin | 45c | 74.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Andrej Martin | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Andrej Martin | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Andrej Martin | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Khumoyun Sultanov | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Andrej Martin | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Khumoyun Sultanov | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Khumoyun Sultanov | 57c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.