Tennis · resolved market
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b7564ae723231f5e43329f06e1fc652d4b7c5b565625e1f767de25823042af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezof Nicolas Villalon, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Nicolas Villalon | 21c | 23,811$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 32c | 22,037$7,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 79c | 8,479$6,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Nicolas Villalon | 27c | 3,000$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Nicolas Villalon | 21c | 2,842$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.54 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Villalon | 36c | 2,509$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 78c | 2,457$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 11c | 2,444$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 44c | 2,235$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.12 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 43c | 2,208$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.78 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 44c | 2,033$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.22 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 1,028$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.92 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 78c | 914.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 79c | 701.19$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 73c | 669.97$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 654.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 45c | 511.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Nicolas Villalon | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 77c | 428.25$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Villalon | 19c | 402.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Villalon | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Nicolas Villalon | 22c | 374.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 80c | 363.88$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 36c | 360$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nicolas Villalon | 16c | 308.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 45c | 247.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…d170backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 231.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Nicolas Villalon | 61c | 214.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 68c | 194.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a9a7backed Nicolas Villalon | 31c | 163.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Nicolas Villalon | 16c | 159.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Nicolas Villalon | 28c | 135.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 74c | 135.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nicolas Villalon | 10c | 133.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Nicolas Villalon | 20c | 126.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 39c | 125.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Nicolas Villalon | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nicolas Villalon | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Nicolas Villalon | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Nicolas Villalon | 16c | 85.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nicolas Villalon | 54c | 82.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Nicolas Villalon | 41c | 76.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 39c | 68.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Nicolas Villalon | 48c | 61.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Villalon | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nicolas Villalon | 44c | 58.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Nicolas Villalon | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 63c | 46.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 60c | 43.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Nicolas Villalon | 39c | 43.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Nicolas Villalon | 27c | 38.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | -37.3wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 22-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 38.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55b…b29abacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 50c | 32.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…7decbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 70c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 75c | 22.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.