TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Patrick Brady vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patrick Bradyof Patrick Brady, Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,443 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Patrick Brady28c3,689$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.782,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Patrick Brady22c2,981$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.032,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Patrick Brady47c2,150$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert50c2,148$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.22,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Patrick Brady20c1,698$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35644038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Patrick Brady21c1,200$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Patrick Brady51c936.66$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert80c882.8$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7061,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert77c880.94$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.963,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c803$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.7328247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert78c684$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1511158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert72c576.65$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.661,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Patrick Brady36c570$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.861924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert5c507$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Patrick Brady21c493.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.117933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Patrick Brady30c483.41$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert55c457.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert56c390.73$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0751933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert72c390.15$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Patrick Brady18c339$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert63c335.98$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.812,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Patrick Brady16c313$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.927,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert56c310.57$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9268026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Patrick Brady39c308.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert55c290.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.451,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Patrick Brady11c279.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Patrick Brady24c190.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Patrick Brady20c187.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.971,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Patrick Brady20c178.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.051,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Patrick Brady20c175$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert60c166.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4631643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Patrick Brady33c159.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.266,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Patrick Brady20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb16…d583backed Patrick Brady24c143.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+310%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patrick Brady35c140.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9338147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Patrick Brady18c139.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2118233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert77c129$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.332321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Patrick Brady31c126.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.579,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Patrick Brady43c119.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6761953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c109.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Patrick Brady20c104$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Patrick Brady19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8115512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c99.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.442,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f60…a419backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert64c93.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.612360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Patrick Brady43c90.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.417,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert57c87.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Patrick Brady29c87.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.113,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Patrick Brady23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9613113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Patrick Brady48c85.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…adb9backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert25c82.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert65c76.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.676,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert43c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert79c69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.377,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Patrick Brady20c60.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.481,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Patrick Brady36c60.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert47c59.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.941,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert66c55.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8465264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Patrick Brady19c53.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Patrick Brady48c48.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0926349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.227552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Patrick Brady24c42.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4130853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Patrick Brady48c38.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8124244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Patrick Brady30c37.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5427546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6049…81ebbacked Patrick Brady39c35.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert80c31.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3753752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Patrick Brady45c31.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1123249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert59c22.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.257441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.633364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfae…e71ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert79c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.095967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert60c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert61c16.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109562.1%59 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.