TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noir Verseof Honvéd, Noir Verse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse45c4,402$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.882755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Honvéd61c3,799$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.981,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Honvéd40c3,585$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.8516343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4299…10ccbacked Noir Verse58c2,283$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.081844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Honvéd45c2,052$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.0735847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Honvéd51c2,023$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.732,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Noir Verse38c1,750$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.6975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Noir Verse41c1,646$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.2918550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd57c1,552$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.833,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Noir Verse36c1,427$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.515,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c6…7457backed Noir Verse28c1,299$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.75556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Honvéd27c1,286$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.631,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Noir Verse55c1,110$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3623356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78dd…3235backed Noir Verse78c886.91$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.292951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Honvéd44c789.94$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0488330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad21…ec73backed Noir Verse71c703.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.06757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed Noir Verse53c702.65$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.183151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Noir Verse37c694.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.65354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Noir Verse41c610$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Honvéd52c574$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.481,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Noir Verse62c550.91$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Noir Verse36c511.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.077758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Honvéd61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30513839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Honvéd73c442.93$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9814248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Noir Verse61c426.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5326554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Honvéd46c422.29$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.689043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Honvéd58c420.14$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4816550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked Noir Verse53c415.93$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.938351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Honvéd22c413.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.352,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Honvéd68c399$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5221146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed Honvéd59c376.79$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1811348.7%55 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Honvéd32c374.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.71,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Honvéd49c373.01$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8645748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Honvéd70c357$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0215646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Noir Verse60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.231749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…2acdbacked Noir Verse58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.94961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Noir Verse53c326.25$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Noir Verse60c317.6$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0416963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Honvéd20c313.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.482025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Noir Verse60c283.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.334761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Honvéd64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Noir Verse53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.521845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Honvéd60c241.65$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.637057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Honvéd63c211.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5637848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Noir Verse42c209.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Honvéd47c208.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2116036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Honvéd72c205.84$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.412049.2%59 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Honvéd49c199$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9923244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Noir Verse67c192$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.614,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Noir Verse34c174.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71d3…e130backed Honvéd59c169.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.773661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031d…610abacked Honvéd43c163.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Noir Verse46c156.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.162,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Noir Verse53c155.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4629543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Honvéd60c153.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0816847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Honvéd62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Honvéd61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.56747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Honvéd60c149$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.422455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Honvéd58c144.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6925551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae95…38fbbacked Honvéd69c131.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Noir Verse61c129.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.362,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Honvéd71c128.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.53250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Noir Verse58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.511460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdef8…dccfbacked Noir Verse53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked Honvéd61c119.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4210346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Honvéd23c119.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Honvéd58c106$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5433849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Noir Verse38c105.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7983856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Noir Verse63c104.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7826346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Noir Verse42c103.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2117230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Honvéd61c102.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.426842.6%29 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Honvéd59c87.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2415349.7%76 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Honvéd62c85.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.291,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Honvéd73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.181,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Noir Verse25c66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5418939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598f…528bbacked Honvéd41c65.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Honvéd42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0527438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Honvéd73c64.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478653.5%46 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Honvéd27c62.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Noir Verse59c54.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3375245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x314f…e463backed Honvéd60c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Noir Verse55c45.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.561054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Honvéd53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7969732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Noir Verse66c39.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3539772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Noir Verse44c38.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.787241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Honvéd42c37.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8316651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Noir Verse65c36.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.924060%24 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed Honvéd59c35.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.835137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed Honvéd56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65851.7%30 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf939…43e1backed Honvéd61c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Honvéd46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Honvéd59c31.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4247054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Noir Verse41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2713358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Noir Verse35c28.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5823526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Noir Verse35c28.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5817626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Noir Verse49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked Honvéd44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.888737.9%33 W · 54 L-15.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8564…0306backed Noir Verse75c23.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Noir Verse60c19.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9560954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fe…580bbacked Honvéd60c19.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.842857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.