MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53655999e661654692403cdadee509f8397ae89cc476371ddf57c3cf4ee86bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Royals | 36c | 12,075$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 1c | 10,303$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Royals | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…2682backed Royals | 35c | 9,995$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…12e0backed Yankees | 65c | 9,995$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Royals | 0c | 5,805$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 36c | 4,062$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.53 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 65c | 3,912$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 3c | 2,720$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 35c | 2,242$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.68 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 21c | 2,080$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Yankees | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Royals | 35c | 1,985$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 65c | 1,892$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.1 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,758$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 65c | 1,713$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Royals | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Royals | 35c | 1,420$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.19 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 1c | 1,398$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Royals | 35c | 1,122$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.87 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Royals | 1c | 1,116$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 1c | 1,094$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Royals | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 35c | 1,000$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.72 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed Yankees | 65c | 890$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…aef5backed Royals | 35c | 890$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Royals | 5c | 660.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Royals | 36c | 599.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 34c | 591.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Yankees | 66c | 540.3$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Royals | 37c | 531.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Royals | 37c | 518.76$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 36c | 463$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 24c | 435$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Royals | 7c | 398.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 63c | 391.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…d625backed Royals | 37c | 386.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Yankees | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…90f2backed Royals | 36c | 340.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yankees | 65c | 336.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 64c | 335.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Yankees | 65c | 332.74$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38f…7e3bbacked Yankees | 65c | 330.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Yankees | 65c | 323.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 35c | 309.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed Yankees | 64c | 305.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…d267backed Yankees | 64c | 290.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…941abacked Yankees | 65c | 284.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d051backed Royals | 37c | 279.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…f569backed Yankees | 66c | 277.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…bccbbacked Yankees | 65c | 260.8$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yankees | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Royals | 36c | 252.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 76c | 234.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Royals | 36c | 218.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Royals | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Yankees | 66c | 193.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…6e89backed Yankees | 65c | 187.49$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yankees | 66c | 165$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 35c | 164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 36c | 163.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yankees | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Royals | 17c | 145.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 63c | 145.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Yankees | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Royals | 24c | 126.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…5f22backed Yankees | 66c | 110.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yankees | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Royals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yankees | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Royals | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yankees | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Royals | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…1b62backed Royals | 36c | 89.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Royals | 36c | 86.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 69c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Yankees | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yankees | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yankees | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b17…6424backed Yankees | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Royals | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Royals | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Royals | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Yankees | 66c | 71.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Royals | 35c | 66.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 35c | 63.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Yankees | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yankees | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.