Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Peter Fajta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5386990ddebeb20bf74411679f58771f0941bff474152d33da0ad9091c325f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dali Blanchof Dali Blanch, Peter Fajta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Peter Fajta | 24c | 2,758$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.1 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Dali Blanch | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Peter Fajta | 10c | 1,122$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Dali Blanch | 78c | 1,011$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.74 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Peter Fajta | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Peter Fajta | 18c | 798.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…85c9backed Peter Fajta | 7c | 682.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Dali Blanch | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Peter Fajta | 24c | 526.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Dali Blanch | 75c | 394.74$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Peter Fajta | 31c | 391.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Peter Fajta | 6c | 357.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peter Fajta | 15c | 334.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Peter Fajta | 24c | 243.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Peter Fajta | 15c | 228.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Peter Fajta | 32c | 226.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Peter Fajta | 12c | 221.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Peter Fajta | 8c | 164.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Peter Fajta | 25c | 147.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Peter Fajta | 40c | 111$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Peter Fajta | 12c | 105.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Dali Blanch | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Peter Fajta | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Peter Fajta | 13c | 82.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Peter Fajta | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Peter Fajta | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Peter Fajta | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Peter Fajta | 27c | 57.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Dali Blanch | 77c | 52.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Dali Blanch | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Peter Fajta | 26c | 38.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Dali Blanch | 74c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dali Blanch | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Dali Blanch | 79c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.