CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c9265f4006ce8c456899e220c0aae689404bb43693523fff435a0e240182f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alzonof METANOIA WOLVES, Alzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alzon | 27c | 225.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alzon | 28c | 224.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alzon | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 134.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 126.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 104.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 81.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alzon | 38c | 79.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 78.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 64.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 70c | 61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Alzon | 49c | 50.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 49.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Alzon | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 70c | 42.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 971 | 43.7%424 W · 547 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alzon | 41c | 42.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alzon | 55c | 38.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alzon | 32c | 36.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 34.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Alzon | 39c | 32.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 31.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 538 | 45.2%243 W · 295 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 19.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.