Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Miguel Tobon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5443dad14569752e8693e738d424eade46de44e764f0de8ee4d0c69f6204d3c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miguel Tobonof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Miguel Tobon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 7c | 3,554$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 5c | 1,980$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miguel Tobon | 51c | 1,278$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.08 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 11c | 1,058$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 4c | 792.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Miguel Tobon | 79c | 501.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Miguel Tobon | 53c | 474.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 6c | 381.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 47c | 366.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miguel Tobon | 54c | 338$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 17c | 263.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 8c | 214.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 52c | 191.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Tobon | 78c | 181$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 50c | 157.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Miguel Tobon | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 11c | 96.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 42c | 81.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miguel Tobon | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 14c | 76.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Miguel Tobon | 47c | 69.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Miguel Tobon | 53c | 44.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 49c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…ec0dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.