TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stonehill Skyhawksof Le Moyne Dolphins, Stonehill Skyhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks58c7,580$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,215.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins44c3,334$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Le Moyne Dolphins26c2,267$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9834943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Le Moyne Dolphins56c1,859$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.422,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Le Moyne Dolphins2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins12c953.43$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c910.34$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.0712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins50c887.74$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.841,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins4c734.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.365427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Le Moyne Dolphins7c626.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Le Moyne Dolphins59c586.38$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.641,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c554.6$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins60c505$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Le Moyne Dolphins25c489.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ba…1783backed Le Moyne Dolphins27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Le Moyne Dolphins58c340$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Le Moyne Dolphins17c333.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Stonehill Skyhawks39c285.33$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Le Moyne Dolphins31c278.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c269.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins24c250.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins61c245.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stonehill Skyhawks40c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed Le Moyne Dolphins27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Le Moyne Dolphins16c173.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins32c170.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks43c168.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks40c133.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.831,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Stonehill Skyhawks45c125.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.863961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Le Moyne Dolphins30c120.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Le Moyne Dolphins14c118.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c113.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.044,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Stonehill Skyhawks43c88.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3721937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stonehill Skyhawks57c82.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Stonehill Skyhawks43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stonehill Skyhawks44c70.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.541,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Le Moyne Dolphins28c64.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.231,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Le Moyne Dolphins57c61.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Le Moyne Dolphins57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Stonehill Skyhawks43c53.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.278646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c50.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8514553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Le Moyne Dolphins46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Le Moyne Dolphins60c43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.827055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c40.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks69c36.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Le Moyne Dolphins58c35.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.823554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Le Moyne Dolphins50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.535852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Stonehill Skyhawks40c25.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2513450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks44c22.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.872842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Le Moyne Dolphins57c22.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.116140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Le Moyne Dolphins60c16.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.