Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d971a148fc85e245a1c72f8e1b5cb732a13671bb841691b4349993675076f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a7…63f1backed No | 78c | 2,880$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,262$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…b9a9backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 11c | 532$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 521.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 22c | 501.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 21c | 501$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 499.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 20c | 429$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 23c | 418.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 406.93$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 76c | 274$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 229.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 70c | 159.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 145.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 127.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 30c | 102.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 28c | 89.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 72c | 77.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 28c | 43.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to win the second half?this page
- Switzerland to win the second half?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.