Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5b4da5edf3f3a107c19b4384df5a99b2f63e5512a7025588bc84cfa5d5b50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 14,083$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 2,977$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 61c | 1,559$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.82 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 642.95$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 64c | 613.33$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.53 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 19c | 503.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 495.83$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 58c | 483.45$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 42c | 476.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 458.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed No | 57c | 457.54$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 401.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 374.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…d89cbacked Yes | 42c | 307.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 232.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 16c | 175.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 58c | 149.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 44c | 130.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 35c | 105.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 94.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 59c | 89.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 57c | 78.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…93aabacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 67.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 56.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…00c9backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 52.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 43.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Yes | 40c | 39.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 58c | 35.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…9b80backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 58c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e96…0317backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to win the second half?this page
- Algeria to win the second half?No won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.