MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a54d87706db7bdf52526a4f6d5083bce5d833aa5f181121bfea70cfb848379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Toronto Blue Jays, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 72c | 12,542$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 12,119$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 3,870$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 2,893$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.34 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 2,041$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 2,032$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 1,291$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 987.88$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 986.59$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 297.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 242$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 202.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 177$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 155.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 136.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 108.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 97.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 96.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 39.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Chicago White Sox | 71c | 38.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 37.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chicago White Sox | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-5.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.