F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b20948dc9553438d7c7e0c10c1a9648fea6242ca5c9f35ceb8f88b5b8b089b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 60c | 1,930$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.07 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 40c | 1,897$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 54c | 492.43$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 46c | 426.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 379.14$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…ba8bbacked Yes | 46c | 323.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 58c | 260.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 35c | 248.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…07aebacked Yes | 42c | 226.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 45c | 223.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 46c | 195$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 185$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 64c | 167$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 56c | 152.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 141.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…8468backed Yes | 57c | 141.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…b401backed Yes | 44c | 90.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 41c | 77.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d3…1693backed Yes | 42c | 71.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 59c | 60.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 41c | 60.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…6bb9backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 56.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 60c | 52.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 61c | 50.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…b665backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 41c | 43.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x059a…6a07backed No | 59c | 39.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 38.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 65c | 38.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 61c | 35.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e267backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…cd0abacked Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 43c | 30.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 58c | 22.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 60c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e91ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 74c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.