TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under69c2,906$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over13c1,422$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.952,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over32c1,353$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.2481244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over33c554.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over27c513.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.832,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over10c512.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Over20c359.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.152347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over13c340$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over17c304.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.712,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over28c299.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.731,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under69c250$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under50c237$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.295,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under70c233.55$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0735153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Over14c217.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.484325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over20c200.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.071,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf845…b82fbacked Under80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bab…85adbacked Over69c165.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under70c161.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over29c154.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9314454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed Under69c145.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.079252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Under80c126$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Over35c123.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.994226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Under69c113$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Over31c113$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0333146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over31c103.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0540635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f22…9d96backed Over21c96.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under57c88.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.069740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…bb95backed Under71c83.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over30c79.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.061,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over16c77.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.258745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over30c76.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over35c75.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.758858%51 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over15c74.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2745238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Under67c74.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4715351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Over20c71.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3321741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Over38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over30c54.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over33c44.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Over30c43.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.184634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under52c43.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827040%28 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over57c43.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.371,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1111…1f86backed Under79c34.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.27167.6%48 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c33.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under71c33.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.815349.7%76 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Under66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3452750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad64…8447backed Over51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711740.2%47 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Under68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6866753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under50c21.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.636639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under69c21.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6637855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.938943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under72c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.