Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Sergi Fita Juan vs Alejandro Juan Mano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567f9af7d78df1bf7211f0fc3188cf444440a228f1367d942ca66325f0162fd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Juan Manoof Sergi Fita Juan, Alejandro Juan Mano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergi Fita Juan | 43c | 1,970$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 53c | 1,255$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.31 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 66c | 755.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 63c | 488.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 49c | 427.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 49c | 296.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 59c | 259.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 64c | 221.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 54c | 179.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 60c | 117.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 45c | 98.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 55c | 96.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 49c | 90.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 59c | 67.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 53c | 35.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 50c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…2c1dbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Santander Men: Sergi Fita Juan vs Alejandro Juan Manothis page
- Sergi Fita Juan vs. Alejandro Juan Mano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.