TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Joaquin Aguilar, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida55c23,079$12,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,457.678,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Joaquin Aguilar44c23,018$10,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,170.6342131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Joaquin Aguilar53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida68c2,572$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.450442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c2,210$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida79c2,000$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4153966.7%26 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida72c1,311$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.163,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Joaquin Aguilar12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Joaquin Aguilar36c1,040$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Joaquin Aguilar31c999.61$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.19,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Joaquin Aguilar36c848.87$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.131,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1455…e30fbacked Joaquin Aguilar30c716.63$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c654.88$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0911553.9%62 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida80c595.41$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.85,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Joaquin Aguilar33c591.42$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1710044%44 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205a…788bbacked Joaquin Aguilar18c560.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Joaquin Aguilar18c558.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida66c528.92$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.378,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Joaquin Aguilar30c515.43$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0167239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Joaquin Aguilar21c480.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.361,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida65c437$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.134,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Joaquin Aguilar17c420.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Joaquin Aguilar34c347.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0954541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida47c338.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.342,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Joaquin Aguilar36c312.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.742,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Joaquin Aguilar52c277.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.119740.6%80 W · 117 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida59c271.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6244758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Joaquin Aguilar32c243.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.052,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida56c207.92$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Joaquin Aguilar21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.689134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Joaquin Aguilar31c199.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida56c198.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.344,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida67c184.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.256,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Joaquin Aguilar33c181.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.352,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida59c150.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.285,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida51c148.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.913,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1629…f46fbacked Joaquin Aguilar34c140.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Joaquin Aguilar35c135.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5326134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c123.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.176,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida68c106.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.967,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida63c100.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3936557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida50c97.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Joaquin Aguilar32c96.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.832,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Joaquin Aguilar55c84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Joaquin Aguilar37c81.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6390335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c79.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7253657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida56c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.884,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7696049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida48c74.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9918957.7%109 W · 80 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Joaquin Aguilar32c72.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1530132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c70.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7739469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5f4…8cf0backed Joaquin Aguilar39c66.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.438351.8%43 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Joaquin Aguilar17c65.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.129450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2248552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Joaquin Aguilar47c60.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.942,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Joaquin Aguilar27c56.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b2…1cbfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.553852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.852355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Joaquin Aguilar37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Joaquin Aguilar35c50.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6817341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Joaquin Aguilar55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.556153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Joaquin Aguilar33c48.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida66c45.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Joaquin Aguilar25c44.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida53c43.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2925452%132 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Joaquin Aguilar38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida54c42.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4835649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Joaquin Aguilar43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Joaquin Aguilar25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Joaquin Aguilar38c39.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida70c39.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.871,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a11…84cbbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55964.4%38 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida61c32.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6924748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida48c29.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.372,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida51c29.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1736743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3627664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida66c23.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9158665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c20.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2116258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.