Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5796772e8dd8f6f6d47a3f6b1e250a3e22a4912205dd697d9f1415879dc6c10e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 1,360$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 2c | 978.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 5c | 718.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 35c | 571.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 448.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 15c | 414.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed No | 77c | 412.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 364.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 24c | 342$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 39c | 319.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 303.29$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 21c | 272.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 260.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…5c1ebacked Yes | 39c | 256.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 25c | 246.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 7c | 237.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 7c | 237.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed Yes | 7c | 226.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 70c | 212.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 37c | 211.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 73c | 211.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 6c | 200.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 196.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 63c | 185.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 178.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…9bf0backed Yes | 34c | 152.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 63c | 137.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 9c | 129.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 26c | 126.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 26c | 124.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 123.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…7051backed Yes | 15c | 112.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 63c | 105.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 42c | 96.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 96.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 29c | 95.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 39c | 95.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…703dbacked Yes | 32c | 94.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 87.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…12c2backed Yes | 30c | 86.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 85.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 64c | 85.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 78.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…e9c1backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 76c | 74.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 48c | 65.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 27c | 64.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 17c | 62.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…065fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 38c | 52.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 26c | 48.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…1acdbacked No | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 62c | 44.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 62c | 42.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 30c | 41.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 38c | 37.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5d73backed Yes | 41c | 36.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…e315backed No | 66c | 35.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 70c | 34.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 33c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…d3b7backed Yes | 55c | 32.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 78c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9c08backed Yes | 39c | 25.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 70c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 57c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed No | 77c | 22.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 60c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…ef82backed No | 61c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…1b0dbacked No | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 61c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 65c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…cf4bbacked No | 70c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.