TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Yellow Submarine, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Lynx40c3,401$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.5745046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Yellow Submarine24c1,698$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Yellow Submarine57c1,367$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.369158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine49c1,350$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.452,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yellow Submarine19c1,267$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2416945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine27c1,259$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx66c1,258$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1147046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx42c1,207$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.292,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Lynx65c962.23$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7550053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yellow Submarine62c802.85$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5325935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Yellow Submarine6c788.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx43c554.79$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7555147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Yellow Submarine57c529.15$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6240644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yellow Submarine18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0814661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine46c520.82$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.451,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine60c467.36$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1429347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx79c445.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine23c424.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4629240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Team Lynx80c378.76$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.096352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx52c318.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.296645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Lynx43c305$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.765441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine57c292.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5917954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Team Lynx42c275.65$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Lynx41c267$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5333867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Yellow Submarine60c254.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0247650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Yellow Submarine41c253.57$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10331835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yellow Submarine41c236$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7661057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yellow Submarine6c235.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9250444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Lynx39c231.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14240534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Yellow Submarine25c230.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6930534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Yellow Submarine30c223.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0657735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine29c220.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.41,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx57c202.93$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.021,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Team Lynx40c197.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2715545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yellow Submarine57c190.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9618065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6660…2398backed Yellow Submarine17c190.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Lynx39c184.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5212740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Yellow Submarine60c168.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine51c151.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0273554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked Yellow Submarine65c151.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.899058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Yellow Submarine31c147.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.573630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f0…3068backed Team Lynx45c141.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.578031.3%25 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4898…a723backed Yellow Submarine15c139.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.763318.2%6 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx51c134.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.221,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Team Lynx42c134.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.816141%25 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Yellow Submarine14c115.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1238653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine54c114.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.632,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine62c113.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Lynx56c110.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Team Lynx44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.622752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…7cb3backed Yellow Submarine60c109.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Team Lynx74c109.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Yellow Submarine11c107.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3964123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx48c105.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.861,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx47c99.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yellow Submarine48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7541037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx56c74.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.781,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Team Lynx39c74.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2119951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Yellow Submarine56c71.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1219145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Team Lynx71c68.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8210561%64 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx40c67.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4913152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx72c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2869033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.465337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1436044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Yellow Submarine37c51.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2617853.4%95 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Yellow Submarine57c47.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.146058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine54c42.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Yellow Submarine42c34.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yellow Submarine62c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5446354.6%253 W · 210 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx73c29.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9777458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yellow Submarine59c29.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.266167.2%41 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked Team Lynx66c26.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8613762.8%86 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Lynx50c25.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8125457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx40c24.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7924518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked Team Lynx69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33976.9%30 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Yellow Submarine60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.