TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Yellow Submarine, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx41c5,440$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.411,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx43c3,900$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.0251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Yellow Submarine1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372532%8 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick18cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Yellow Submarine48c2,972$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.5912868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx43c2,942$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.232,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Yellow Submarine58c2,506$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.528845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Yellow Submarine1c2,471$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx38c2,369$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yellow Submarine2c2,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine61c1,986$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.0979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team Lynx40c1,649$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.4222647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx48c1,542$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.1896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Yellow Submarine3c1,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50190%0 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine60c1,326$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.7767043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Yellow Submarine49c1,325$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx44c1,311$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.521,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Yellow Submarine60c1,301$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.89158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx40c1,201$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.951,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Yellow Submarine3c1,200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yellow Submarine1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine65c1,088$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.172,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Yellow Submarine1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+127%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Yellow Submarine50c996.7$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.318156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0150769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx44c850$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47656243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yellow Submarine60c807.13$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1420457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yellow Submarine1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10442.3%1 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Lynx44c785.06$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked Yellow Submarine59c694.06$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Yellow Submarine2c650$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4235…69cbbacked Yellow Submarine53c583.08$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine59c581.11$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5005…f1b3backed Team Lynx46c580.56$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Yellow Submarine57c529.22$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6640644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine57c518.02$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx73c507.73$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2277458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ad2…fcd9backed Yellow Submarine53c505.34$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf76…db81backed Team Lynx46c503.15$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine20c438$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5469033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Yellow Submarine14c417$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.422552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Lynx35c409.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9212255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Yellow Submarine3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx27c394.93$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx45c387.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.931,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Yellow Submarine64c371.16$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.236352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yellow Submarine57c358.28$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.614251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine17c350$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx46c349.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Yellow Submarine55c322.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine14c300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.635032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx51c249.05$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4113152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d5…dc17backed Yellow Submarine71c245.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.757376.7%56 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Yellow Submarine62c244.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Lynx46c235.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5530534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed Yellow Submarine44c218.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6616752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine54c217.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6629347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Yellow Submarine58c201.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9811648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Yellow Submarine60c199.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9220043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yellow Submarine50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Yellow Submarine51c185.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3914832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx42c172.51$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.541,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine57c169.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2433867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yellow Submarine58c161.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.544440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Yellow Submarine20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Team Lynx41c150.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9711858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039e…a342backed Yellow Submarine66c143.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx35c130.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.421,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed2…f173backed Yellow Submarine13c123.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Yellow Submarine68c114.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.668132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Yellow Submarine71c108.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8731835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine56c105.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Lynx38c105.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2820954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yellow Submarine53c104.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2634154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx28c102.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.821,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Yellow Submarine20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5767555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Yellow Submarine20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5474549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Yellow Submarine20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yellow Submarine55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yellow Submarine50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.550444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…922ebacked Yellow Submarine58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.744257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Yellow Submarine20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Yellow Submarine20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Yellow Submarine20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Yellow Submarine20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Yellow Submarine20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine56c78.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8352649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Team Lynx43c77.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.794346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yellow Submarine51c75.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3825457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine30c74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0435430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf0…af43backed Yellow Submarine78c63.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Team Lynx42c62.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2515949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine68c61.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Team Lynx51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.426141%25 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx32c52.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3624518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ec8…80f2backed Yellow Submarine68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Yellow Submarine20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Yellow Submarine79c49.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.512136.4%44 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cea…d534backed Yellow Submarine77c49.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.