Tennis · resolved market
Todi: Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5836958b5003b57482850b2edf06c8ae0bfac648cbf624cbf27ef033daab598a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Barrenaof Alex Barrena, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 14c | 2,098$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 38c | 1,746$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.45 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 39c | 1,465$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 1,032$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 23c | 952.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 12c | 783.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 19c | 624.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 459.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Barrena | 64c | 290.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 25c | 275.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 10c | 249.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 7c | 212$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…b6babacked Alex Barrena | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alex Barrena | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 14c | 142.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 20c | 96.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 35c | 58.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 38c | 58.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Barrena | 78c | 47.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 36c | 37.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Alex Barrena | 76c | 27.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Alex Barrena | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…a972backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Alex Barrena | 64c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Alex Barrena | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…a42dbacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alex Barrena | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Todi: Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogithis page
- Todi: Completed Match: Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.