Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Turku Men: Oscar Weightman vs Oskari Paldanius
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585ce0118b03b22a9d3b42d1bceaf9bbbbc179e65694c3de6fe6ef2848d0a4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oskari Paldaniusof Oscar Weightman, Oskari Paldanius
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Oscar Weightman | 55c | 8,656$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.77 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oskari Paldanius | 45c | 6,153$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.76 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Oscar Weightman | 60c | 3,012$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.52 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oskari Paldanius | 62c | 2,095$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.25 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oskari Paldanius | 44c | 852$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oskari Paldanius | 73c | 820.5$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oskari Paldanius | 46c | 442.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oskari Paldanius | 45c | 260.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oskari Paldanius | 42c | 193.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Oscar Weightman | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Oscar Weightman | 63c | 141.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 618 | 57.8%357 W · 261 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Oskari Paldanius | 44c | 134.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Oscar Weightman | 49c | 128.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Oskari Paldanius | 48c | 127.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Oskari Paldanius | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Oscar Weightman | 49c | 105.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Oscar Weightman | 53c | 96.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Oskari Paldanius | 49c | 95.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Oskari Paldanius | 40c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Oscar Weightman | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Oskari Paldanius | 70c | 79.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Oskari Paldanius | 45c | 67.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Oscar Weightman | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oskari Paldanius | 76c | 62.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Oskari Paldanius | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Oscar Weightman | 34c | 55.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Oskari Paldanius | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Oskari Paldanius | 46c | 48.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oscar Weightman | 54c | 45.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 41.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Oskari Paldanius | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Oskari Paldanius | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Oskari Paldanius | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 257 | 68.1%175 W · 82 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Oskari Paldanius | 70c | 33.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Oskari Paldanius | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Oskari Paldanius | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Oskari Paldanius | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…ea3bbacked Oscar Weightman | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7bafbacked Oscar Weightman | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Oscar Weightman | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Oskari Paldanius | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Oscar Weightman | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Turku Men: Oscar Weightman vs Oskari Paldaniusthis page
- ITF M15 Turku Men: Completed Match: Oscar Weightman vs Oskari PaldaniusYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.