TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe90b…7baf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$21.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$27.06
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$21.03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$25.14
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+192.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.