TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mona Barthel vs Lin Zhu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lin Zhuof Mona Barthel, Lin Zhu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lin Zhu70c4,834$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.34,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Mona Barthel31c2,932$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.783348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Mona Barthel31c2,895$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.447241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Mona Barthel16c2,742$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6437421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mona Barthel30c2,581$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lin Zhu73c1,960$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.7811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Mona Barthel14c1,895$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3157321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mona Barthel19c1,503$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.484,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Lin Zhu67c1,325$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8317556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Mona Barthel34c1,147$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mona Barthel33c1,117$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.633,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mona Barthel17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mona Barthel34c964.23$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.364,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Mona Barthel3c959.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8610%0 W · 61 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mona Barthel30c863.59$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.083,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mona Barthel29c759.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Lin Zhu56c666$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0438550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lin Zhu64c628$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.681,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Lin Zhu60c610.05$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.872,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lin Zhu70c549.91$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.345,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Lin Zhu69c509$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.791,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lin Zhu70c505.98$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.561,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Lin Zhu69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lin Zhu69c426.75$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.561,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Lin Zhu71c400$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6759…95a7backed Lin Zhu55c363.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.739736.1%35 W · 62 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Mona Barthel32c343.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3344349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Lin Zhu69c320$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.743952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Lin Zhu72c285.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mona Barthel22c284.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.031,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mona Barthel22c263.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.073,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Mona Barthel32c228.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.977432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Mona Barthel42c224$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mona Barthel30c220.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.172,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mona Barthel32c218.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Mona Barthel49c203$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mona Barthel17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mona Barthel32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Mona Barthel12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mona Barthel37c158.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.496,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Lin Zhu69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9335457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Mona Barthel35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Mona Barthel19c140.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lin Zhu68c130.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.623,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Mona Barthel32c128.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Mona Barthel32c128.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mona Barthel32c106.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.054,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Lin Zhu70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3083447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Lin Zhu60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Lin Zhu64c94.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Mona Barthel38c91.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Mona Barthel33c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7255748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lin Zhu65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9249056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mona Barthel29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lin Zhu65c68.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Mona Barthel33c60.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Lin Zhu65c57.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Mona Barthel34c57.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5678957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Mona Barthel29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Lin Zhu71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Lin Zhu64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Mona Barthel40c45.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2452355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Lin Zhu58c43.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3439035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Mona Barthel31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.452035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Lin Zhu64c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.642563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Lin Zhu65c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Lin Zhu49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7022…8714backed Lin Zhu51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Lin Zhu51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Lin Zhu51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Mona Barthel36c28.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.266259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Mona Barthel40c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0825336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23e…f7c3backed Lin Zhu51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…bf1bbacked Lin Zhu72c25.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Lin Zhu73c21.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98654.7%47 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Lin Zhu69c15.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73450%17 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bb1…e1d6backed Lin Zhu68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83956.4%22 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.