Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58731a6db759de48d7cf1d09c96970f05273bbebb69f378bd95dd33a26109792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 2c | 951.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 881.65$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…4774backed Yes | 43c | 621.37$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 594.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 591$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 575.36$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 36c | 436$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 36c | 378.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 63c | 324.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 24c | 273.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 19c | 266.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 230$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 67c | 206.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 72c | 194.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 13c | 192.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…862ebacked Yes | 20c | 191.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -10.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 189.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 184.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 183.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 29c | 169.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 231 | 29.4%68 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 44c | 169.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…4271backed Yes | 19c | 169.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 80c | 168.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…fb4dbacked Yes | 18c | 166.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 162.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 76c | 155.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…c64fbacked Yes | 20c | 148.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…a971backed Yes | 23c | 145.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…d5cabacked Yes | 30c | 145.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 70c | 143.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 33c | 135.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 28c | 122.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed No | 65c | 114.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed Yes | 35c | 113.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 77c | 110.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 23c | 110.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…ffc1backed Yes | 35c | 107.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 102.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…b81fbacked Yes | 35c | 102.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…55c6backed Yes | 17c | 102.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 100.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 95.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 23c | 93.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 90.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 35c | 90.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 89.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 33c | 89.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…5d9bbacked Yes | 16c | 89.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 87.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 26c | 85.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked No | 65c | 84.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 84.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 83.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed Yes | 21c | 82.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 77.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 24c | 73.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 32c | 73.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 38c | 71.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 68.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 29c | 60.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 29c | 58.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…ce08backed Yes | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 67c | 57.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 27c | 55.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 37c | 52.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 52.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 32c | 50.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 33c | 50.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 47.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked No | 80c | 44.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 63c | 44.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 32c | 44.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 30c | 43.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…2b3bbacked Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 35c | 40.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked Yes | 34c | 40.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 74c | 39.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 36.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 64c | 35.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…e9cebacked No | 67c | 32.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0ef3backed Yes | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.