Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cbcd7f27f60388d43a9d3f1d5e7ed7d3cd31d1076c990a73ae48e644ef1f491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,704$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,531$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.29 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 23c | 799.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 9c | 528$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 14c | 514.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…4774backed Yes | 39c | 468.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 444.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 76c | 403.17$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 15c | 384.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 78c | 350.09$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 20c | 321.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 17c | 294.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 288.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 267.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 258.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…862ebacked Yes | 16c | 248.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -10.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f980backed No | 73c | 233.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 18c | 216.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…0c12backed Yes | 13c | 194.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 184.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 180$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…4e69backed No | 77c | 175.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked No | 75c | 168.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 16c | 167.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 27c | 166.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 14c | 162.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 152$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 150.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 21c | 145.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 22c | 140.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 17c | 138$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 79c | 126.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 77c | 111.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 11c | 103.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 101.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 12c | 100.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 92.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 90.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…a08ebacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 89.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 16c | 87.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked No | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 81.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 28c | 80.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 23c | 76.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 77c | 75.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…ad5bbacked Yes | 22c | 75.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 28c | 73.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 19c | 69.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 68.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 68.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc4…4d11backed Yes | 19c | 64.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 19c | 62.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 75c | 60.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 60.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 18c | 60.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…e48bbacked Yes | 18c | 58.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 23c | 56.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 74c | 50.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 49.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…e9cebacked No | 78c | 44.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…da6dbacked No | 74c | 44.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 69c | 43.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 41.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 78c | 41.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 69c | 40.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…d5cabacked No | 79c | 38.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…0ec7backed Yes | 32c | 37.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…dce4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked No | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.