Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5891e485bcc1f80855081c4b3fd57baa5f24a35e8b6a661fd28c7e102c0f019c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof QoR, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed QoR | 45c | 7,485$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.45 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 3,409$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed QoR | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…a5d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 1,766$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 1,675$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.14 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 1,448$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 1,136$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.95 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 946.35$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.71 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 920$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed QoR | 44c | 912.47$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed QoR | 46c | 906.55$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 705.45$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed QoR | 42c | 673.41$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.52 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked QoR | 45c | 542.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed QoR | 44c | 497$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked QoR | 48c | 414.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 394.42$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 275.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 271$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked QoR | 25c | 271$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 262.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QoR | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked QoR | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 170.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QoR | 33c | 166.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed QoR | 25c | 161.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 125.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 114.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed QoR | 44c | 113.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 100.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed QoR | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 97.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked QoR | 46c | 78.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked QoR | 36c | 77.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed QoR | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 47c | 64.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 56.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…2387backed QoR | 41c | 48.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QoR | 22c | 48.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed QoR | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…08c5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 36.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…023dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed QoR | 41c | 31.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 24.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed QoR | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 18.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.