South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e3dc5205d3e9491571a4eaa04446fd0aa62e8ffe773ccfd0a8b4cbae0cd6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 8,825$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 4,938$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.39 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 4,593$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.03 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 3,732$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.04 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 51c | 3,295$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.2 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 3,191$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 2,592$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 62c | 2,438$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.25 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 38c | 2,307$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.11 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 1,523$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 38c | 532.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 232.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 57c | 206.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 197.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 174.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 172.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 157.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 151.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 52c | 143.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 38c | 114$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 109.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 17c | 98.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 96.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 49c | 93.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 86.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 57c | 77.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 71c | 61.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 38c | 45.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 62c | 45.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 45.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 42.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 57c | 33.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Over | 56c | 32.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 36c | 28.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 64c | 19.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Under | 69c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.