Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Washington State Cougars

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5948b43fa10503c99ffdcf889b3519f92638698104f71f919bb433b82fa56e05

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Saint Mary's Gaelsof Saint Mary's Gaels, Washington State Cougars
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,702 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Washington State Cougars	22c	20,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	13,209$10,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,909.03	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	10,046$7,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,210.23	1,397	52.7%736 W · 661 L	+26.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Washington State Cougars	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	77c	4,600$3,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.42	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Washington State Cougars	23c	3,964$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.68	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	2,160$1,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.2	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	2,086$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.92	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Washington State Cougars	27c	1,641$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.59	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	1,506$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.41	252	54.8%138 W · 114 L	-15.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Washington State Cougars	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	136	3.7%5 W · 131 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	1,024$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.36	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State Cougars	8c	936.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington State Cougars	31c	709.53$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.62	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels	73c	626.79$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.01	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	498.02$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.9	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington State Cougars	37c	468.8$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.46	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington State Cougars	7c	354.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Washington State Cougars	12c	306$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Washington State Cougars	22c	301.06$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.23	293	37.2%109 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington State Cougars	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Washington State Cougars	22c	278.56$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	1,446	43.4%627 W · 819 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Saint Mary's Gaels	65c	231.23$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.23	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington State Cougars	23c	199.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Saint Mary's Gaels	73c	192$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.09	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington State Cougars	32c	135.02$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.14	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	127.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	402	52.7%212 W · 190 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	80c	124.88$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	84	60.7%51 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	75c	113.37$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Saint Mary's Gaels	72c	109.57$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.82	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Washington State Cougars	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	555	32.8%182 W · 373 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Washington State Cougars	21c	99.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	939	41.6%391 W · 548 L	+25.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Washington State Cougars	16c	99.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Mary's Gaels	72c	92.81$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	90.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	356	46.6%166 W · 190 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Saint Mary's Gaels	79c	88.61$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	88$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	82.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	77.08$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.92	609	54.5%332 W · 277 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Washington State Cougars	22c	72.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	1,249	16.4%205 W · 1,044 L	-189.4wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Saint Mary's Gaels	64c	71.13$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.61	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Washington State Cougars	20c	60.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…4619backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	60.34$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed Washington State Cougars	22c	49.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Washington State Cougars	23c	47.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Mary's Gaels	71c	37.76$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Washington State Cougars	41c	26.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Saint Mary's Gaels	78c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.1wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c82…dca9backed Saint Mary's Gaels	72c	22.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Saint Mary's Gaels	79c	15.04$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.16	71	76.1%54 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	72cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Washington State Cougarsthis page
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-8.5)Saint Mary's Gaels won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Washington State Cougars

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event